The third piece on the same field, and this one has documents
What the first two said
2021 speculated, and 2023 narrowed it to two possibilities. Both are linked and both are honest about being speculation.
What is new
The estate accounts, which record the transaction directly. The answer is the less interesting of the two possibilities, which is usually how it goes.
Why three pieces
Because publishing the speculation is what caused a reader to look for the accounts. That is an argument for publishing uncertainty rather than sitting on it.
